AMELIA THOMSON-DEVEAUX

Polling editor

Thomson-DeVeaux is the AP’s editor for polling and surveys.
A commuter braves the wind and snow in frigid weather, Jan. 30, 2019, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/John Minchillo, File)
Most Americans who experienced severe winter weather see climate change at work, AP-NORC poll shows
A new poll finds that most U.S. adults who say severe cold was among the types of extreme weather they experienced in recent years cite climate change as a cause.
 
A member of the National Guard patrols along a stretch of border wall, Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2025, in Brownsville, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
Border security is popular – but that may be the limit of US immigration consensus: AP-NORC poll
An AP-NORC poll finds many U.S. adults support the idea of beefing up security at the southern border and undertaking some deportations.
 
People watch the 60th Presidential Inauguration from Emancipation Hall, Monday, Jan. 20, 2025, at the U.S. Capitol in Washington. (Al Drago/Pool Photo via AP)
Do US adults support Trump’s Day 1 actions? Here’s what polling shows
President Donald Trump is beginning to fulfill pledges to crack down on immigration and restore “energy dominance.” Some moves are likely to be popular, but not all. Most Americans think increasing security at the U.S.
 
President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a news conference at Mar-a-Lago, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)
Many Americans doubt Trump will be able to lower prices in his first year, an AP-NORC poll shows
Many U.S. adults are skeptical about President-elect Donald Trump’s ability to bring down costs. An Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll shows only about 2 in 10 Americans are “extremely” or “very” confident the Republican will be able to make progress on lowering the cost o
 
The FBI headquarters building is seen in Washington, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, File)
Few US adults confident Justice Department and FBI will act fairly under Trump, AP-NORC poll finds
As President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for attorney general, Pam Bondi, gets set for her Senate confirmation hearings, only about 2 in 10 U.S. adults are “extremely” or “very” confident the Justice Department will act in a fair and nonpartisan manner during his second term.
 
President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris lead a briefing regarding the federal response to the spread of wildfires in the Los Angeles area, in the Roosevelt Room at the White House in Washington, Thursday, Jan. 9, 2025. (AP Photo/Ben Curtis)
Americans have dimmer view of Biden than they did of Trump or Obama as term ends, AP-NORC poll finds
Americans have a dimmer view of Joe Biden’s presidency as he prepares to leave office than they did at the end of Donald Trump’s first term or Barack Obama’s second.
 
A demonstrator holds up a sign while waiting for the arrival of Luigi Mangione for his arraignment at Manhattan Criminal Court, Monday, Dec. 23, 2024, in New York. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah)
Most Americans blame insurance profits and denials alongside the killer in UHC CEO death, poll finds
Most Americans believe health insurance profits and coverage denials share responsibility for the killing of UnitedHealthcare’s CEO — although not as much as the person who pulled the trigger.
 
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, left, and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump attend a campaign event at the Butler Farm Show, Oct. 5, 2024, in Butler, Pa. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)
Musk and Trump are viewed roughly the same by Americans, an AP-NORC poll finds
Elon Musk’s attachment to President-elect Donald Trump has created an unprecedented alliance between America’s most powerful politician and its richest businessman.
 
New Snack Factory Pop’ums
Only about 2 in 10 Americans approve of Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter, an AP-NORC poll finds
Only about 2 in 10 Americans approve of President Joe Biden’s decision to pardon his son Hunter after earlier promising he’d do no such thing. That’s according to a poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.
 
Young Trump supporters gather outside Ridley High School before Elon Musk leads a America PAC Town Hall in Delaware County, Pa., at Ridley High School on Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (Charles Fox/The Philadelphia Inquirer via AP)
Trump won more young voters, but many don’t agree with him on issues: AP VoteCast
Young voters swung toward President-elect Donald Trump in this year’s election, but according to AP VoteCast, they’re not the staunchly conservative base that he’s relied on in the past. That could create challenges.
 
A cutout of Jesus watches over voters at the voting station at Redeemer Lutheran Church on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Lincoln, Neb. (Kenneth Ferriera/Lincoln Journal Star via AP)
AP VoteCast shows Trump boosted his level of support among Catholic voters
Among several blocs of religious voters, including his loyal evangelical base, Donald Trump fared roughly as well in his victory over Kamala Harris as he did in his loss to Joe Biden four years ago.
 
Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump serves french fries as an employee looks on during a visit to McDonald's in Feasterville-Trevose, Pa., Sunday, Oct. 20, 2024. (Doug Mills/The New York Times via AP, Pool)
AP VoteCast: Voters who focused on the economy broke hard for Trump
President-elect Donald Trump tapped into deep anxieties about an economy that seemed unable despite its recent growth to meet the needs of the middle class.
 
FILE - Voters line up to cast their ballots in the midterm election at the Aspray Boat House in Warwick, R.I., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. (AP Photo/David Goldman, File)
How a poll can represent your opinion even if you weren’t contacted for it
Chances are, you’ve never been contacted for an election poll. But the dozens of high-quality election polls that will be released before Election Day represent a reasonable estimate of the opinions of all Americans.
 
FILE - Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris participate during an ABC News presidential debate at the National Constitution Center, Tuesday, Sept.10, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)
Will the polls be right in 2024? What polling on the presidential race can and can’t tell you
Even though polls are sometimes treated as projections, they aren’t designed to tell you who’s likely to win.
 
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addresses the 79th session of the United Nations General Assembly, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Republicans are more likely than Democrats to see Israel as a US ally: AP-NORC poll
A new Pearson Institute/AP-NORC survey finds Republicans are more likely to see Israel as an ally that shares the U.S.'s interests and values, while Democrats are more likely to see Israel as a partner that doesn’t share U.S. interests and values.
 
FILE - Spanish language voting stickers which read "He Votado Hoy" ("I Voted Today") are offered at a polling place in Philadelphia, May 21, 2019. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)
Most Hispanic Americans support abortion access: AP-NORC poll
For decades, some political analysts have sought to depict Hispanic Americans as “socially conservative” — and indeed many of them are.
 
FILE - Taylor Swift arrives at the world premiere of the concert film "Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour" in Los Angeles on Oct. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello, File)
Young women are more liberal than they’ve been in decades, a Gallup analysis finds
Young women are more liberal than they’ve been in decades. That’s according to a Gallup analysis of more than 20 years of polling data.
 
This combination of photos shows Vice President Kamala Harris, left, on Aug. 7, 2024 and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump on July 31, 2024. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
The presidential campaigns brace for an intense sprint to Election Day
After a summer of historic tumult, the path to the presidency for both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump this fall is becoming much clearer.
 
FILE - Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump is surrounded by Secret Service at a campaign event in Butler, Pa., July 13, 2024. A senior FBI official says the gunman in the assassination attempt of former President Donald Trump searched online for events of both Trump and President Joe Biden and saw the Pennsylvania campaign rally where he opened fire last month as a “target of opportunity." (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar, File)
Few Americans trust the Secret Service after a gunman nearly killed Trump, an AP-NORC poll finds
Few Americans have high confidence in the Secret Service’s ability to keep presidential candidates safe after last month’s attempt on Donald Trump’s life.
 
FILE - President Joe Biden speaks at a 2024 Prosperity Summit, July 16, 2024, in North Las Vegas, Nev. Nearly two-thirds of Democrats say President Joe Biden should withdraw from the presidential race and let his party select a different candidate, according to a new poll by the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. It sharply undercuts his post-debate claim that “average Democrats” are still with him even if some “big names” are turning on him. (AP Photo/Ronda Churchill, File)
Nearly two-thirds of Democrats want Biden to withdraw, new AP-NORC poll finds
Nearly two-thirds of Democrats say President Joe Biden should withdraw from the presidential race and let his party select a different candidate, according to a new poll.
 
FILE - Lab staff use a microscope stand and articulated hand controls to extract cells from 1-7 day old embryos, shown on the monitor at right, that are then checked for viability at the Aspire Houston Fertility Institute in vitro fertilization lab Feb. 27, 2024, in Houston. According to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, relatively few Americans fully endorse the idea that a fertilized egg should have the same rights as a pregnant woman. But a significant share – 46% -- say it describes their views at least somewhat well. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke, File)
More than 6 in 10 U.S. adults support protecting access to IVF, AP-NORC poll finds
According to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, relatively few Americans fully endorse the idea that a fertilized egg should have the same rights as a pregnant woman.
 
FILE - Abortion rights activists and Women's March leaders protest as part of a national day of strike actions outside the Supreme Court, June 24, 2024, in Washington. A new poll finds that a solid majority of Americans oppose a federal abortion ban and that a rising number support access to abortions for any reason. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)
Support for legal abortion has risen since Supreme Court eliminated protections, AP-NORC poll finds
A new poll finds that a solid majority of Americans oppose a federal abortion ban and that a rising number appear to support access to abortions for any reason.
 
FILE - Former President Donald Trump sits in Manhattan criminal court with his legal team in New York, April 15, 2024. A new AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll found that only about one-third of U.S. adults think Trump did something illegal in the hush money case for which jury selection began Monday, while close to half think he did something illegal in the other three criminal cases pending against him. Still, about half of Americans would consider Trump unfit to serve as president if he is convicted. (Jabin Botsford/Pool Photo via AP)
Only 1 in 3 US adults think Trump acted illegally in New York hush money case, AP-NORC poll shows
A poll shows the first criminal trial facing former President Donald Trump is also the one in which Americans are least convinced he committed a crime.
 
In this combination photo, President Joe Biden speaks in Milwaukee, March 13, 2024, left, and former President Donald Trump speaks in New York, Jan. 11, 2024. A new poll conducted April 4-8 from the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that more than half of U.S. adults think Biden's presidency has hurt the country on cost of living and immigration. Meanwhile, nearly half think Trump's presidency hurt the country on voting rights and election security, relations with foreign countries, abortion laws and climate change. (AP Photo)
Many say Biden and Trump did more harm than good, but for different reasons, AP-NORC poll shows
A new poll from the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that more than half of U.S. adults think Joe Biden’s presidency has hurt the country on cost of living and immigration.
 
FILE - Cars and trucks line up to enter the U.S. from Mexico at a border crossing in El Paso, Texas, March 29, 2019. Most Americans think the U.S. has been significantly changed by immigrants over the past five years and while many agree immigrants contribute to the economy, there are broad concerns that even legal immigration brings risks as well, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, conducted March 21-25, 2024. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert, File)
Many Americans say immigrants contribute to economy but there’s worry over risks, AP-NORC poll finds
Americans are more worried about legal immigrants committing crimes in the U.S. than they were a few years ago, a change driven largely by increased concern among Republicans.
 
FILE - Protesters dressed as Abraham Lincoln chant during a Planned Parenthood rally in support of abortion access outside the U.S. Supreme Court, April 15, 2023, in Washington. A new poll from from AAPI Data and The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows that Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders in the U.S. are highly supportive of legal abortion, even in situations where the pregnant person wants an abortion for any reason. (AP Photo/Nathan Howard, File)
Nearly 8 in 10 AAPI adults in the US think abortion should be legal, an AP-NORC poll finds
A new poll shows that Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders in the United States are highly supportive of legal abortion, even in situations where the pregnant person wants an abortion for any reason.
 
FILE - This combo image shows President Joe Biden, left, Jan. 5, 2024, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump, right, Jan. 19, 2024. Biden and Trump have officially secured the requisite numbers of delegates to be considered their parties’ presumptive nominees. The designation allows the candidates to coordinate directly with the national Democratic and Republican parties, although they aren't considered official nominees until the summer conventions. (AP Photo, File)
Biden’s fraying coalition and Trump’s struggle with moderates: AP data shows nominees’ challenges
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have secured their party’s nominations for president, setting up a rematch of the 2020 election.
 
FILE - President Joe Biden delivers his State of the Union speech to a joint session of Congress, at the Capitol in Washington, Feb. 7, 2023. A poll shows that a growing share of U.S. adults doubt that 81-year-old President Joe Biden has the memory and acuity for the job. That means Biden's upcoming State of the Union address could be something of a real-time audition as he bids for a second term. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite, File)
6 in 10 US adults doubt mental capability of Biden and Trump, AP-NORC poll finds
A new poll finds that a significant share of U.S. adults doubt the mental capabilities of 81-year-old President Joe Biden and 77-year-old Donald Trump, the Republican front-runner in what could be a rematch of the 2020 election.
 
FILE - A voting sign is seen near a voting center at Croft Baptist Church, Feb. 24, 2024, in Spartanburg, S.C. A small but substantial chunk of GOP primary and caucus voters have said they'd be so dissatisfied if Donald Trump became the Republican Party's presidential nominee that they would ultimately not vote for him in November, according to AP VoteCast. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart, File)
A chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they wouldn’t vote for Trump as the GOP nominee
A small but substantial chunk of Republican primary and caucus voters say they would be so dissatisfied if Donald Trump became the party’s presidential nominee that they wouldn’t vote for him in November’s general election.
 
FILE - Republican presidential candidate former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign event Feb. 28, 2024, in Orem, Utah. Haley is making the case that roughly 40% of GOP voters support her over their party's dominant figure, suggesting Trump is especially vulnerable in a November rematch against President Joe Biden. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer, File)
Nikki Haley can’t win the Republican primary with 40%. But she can expose some of Trump’s weaknesses
Donald Trump’s campaign has vowed not to talk about her anymore, but Nikki Haley is still campaigning across the country — and plenty of Republican voters are coming to hear what she has to say.
 
Load More